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Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Limited's (HKG:1842) 27% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 11 19:09

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Limited (HKG:1842) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 57% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Grown Up Group Investment Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Luxury industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

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SEHK:1842 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 11th 2024

How Has Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Grown Up Group Investment Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Grown Up Group Investment Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Grown Up Group Investment Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

Grown Up Group Investment Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 26%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 5.4% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Grown Up Group Investment Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Grown Up Group Investment Holdings' P/S?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Grown Up Group Investment Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Luxury industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Grown Up Group Investment Holdings revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Grown Up Group Investment Holdings (including 2 which are a bit concerning).

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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