Does Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd (SHSE:600727) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd (SHSE:600727) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Shan Dong Lu Bei Chemical Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600727) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
戴維·艾本說得好:「波動性並不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」因此,當您考慮任何給定的股票有多大風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到,山東魯北化工股份有限公司(SHSE:600727)在業務中使用債務。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否會讓公司變得更加危險。
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時,才成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是自有現金流。資本主義的重要組成部分是「創造性破壞」過程,即銀行家無情地清算失敗的企業。然而,一種更頻繁(但仍然成本高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低價發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是,公司合理運用債務,使其受益。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,首先看的是現金和債務的組合。
What Is Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's Net Debt?
山東魯北化工股份有限公司的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd had debt of CN¥2.60b, up from CN¥661.3m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥2.36b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥245.7m.
下面的圖像(單擊可放大)顯示,截至2024年3月,山東魯北化工股份有限公司的債務爲人民幣26億,比一年前的人民幣6,613萬增長。但由於它擁有人民幣23.6億的現金儲備,因此其淨債務較低,約爲人民幣2,457萬。
How Healthy Is Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's Balance Sheet?
山東魯北化工股份有限公司的資產負債表狀況如何?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.12b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥167.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.36b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.15b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.78b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根據最後報告的資產負債表,山東魯北化工股份有限公司負有512億元的負債,應於12個月內償還,以及1673萬元的負債,逾期償還。抵消這些義務,它擁有236億元的現金以及115億元的應於12個月內到期的應收賬款。因此,它的負債總額超過其現金和短期應收賬款17.8億元。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥4.06b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
雖然這聽起來很多,但並不嚴重,因爲山東魯北化工股份有限公司的市值爲40.6億元,因此,如果需要,它可能可以通過籌集資本來加強其資產負債表。但是,仍有必要密切關注其償付債務的能力。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我們通過將公司的淨債務與其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)相除,並計算其息稅前利潤(EBIT)如何覆蓋其利息費用(利息覆蓋率)來衡量公司的債務負擔相對於其盈利能力。因此,我們同時考慮債務的絕對數量以及所支付的利率。
Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.48. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CN¥245m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
山東魯北化工股份有限公司的資產負債率只有0.48,非常低。但是,真正酷的事情是,在過去一年中,它實際上獲得了比支付的更多的利息。因此,毫無疑問,這家公司可以在承擔債務的同時保持冷靜。去年,在EBIt線上虧損但在過去12個月中扭虧爲盈,實現了2.45億元的EBIt利潤,這也是好事。分析負債水平時,資產負債表是顯然的起點。但是,山東魯北化工股份有限公司的收益將影響其資產負債表將來的狀況。因此,在考慮債務時,肯定值得關注收益趨勢。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最後,在進行債務償還時,企業需要有自由現金流;會計利潤並不能承擔這個責任。因此,重要的是檢查其利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲實際自由現金流的數量。在過去一年中,山東魯北化工股份有限公司的實際自由現金流總額相當大。儘管投資者無疑預期在適當的時候會逆轉這種情況,但很明顯,它的債務使用更加具有風險性。
Our View
我們的觀點
We feel some trepidation about Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd's difficulty conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but we've got positives to focus on, too. To wit both its interest cover and net debt to EBITDA were encouraging signs. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Shan Dong Lu Bei ChemicalLtd has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
我們對山東魯北化工股份有限公司的EBIt到自由現金流的轉化存在一些不安,但我們也有一些積極的方面需要關注。它的利息覆蓋率和淨債務與EBITDA的比率都是令人鼓舞的跡象。綜上所述,從所提及的所有角度來看,我們認爲山東魯北化工股份有限公司是一種有些風險的投資,因爲它存在債務。這並不一定是一件壞事,因爲槓桿可以提高股本回報,但這是需要注意的問題。顯然,在分析債務時要關注資產負債表。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。例如,山東魯北化工股份有限公司存在3個警告信號(其中1個有點令人擔憂),我們認爲您應該了解這些情況。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。