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Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery (SZSE:002461) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery (SZSE:002461) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

珠江啤酒(SZSE:002461)似乎幾乎不使用債務
Simply Wall St ·  07/11 21:42

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Co., Ltd (SZSE:002461) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

正如David Iben所說,“波動性並不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本永久損失。”因此,當您考慮任何股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會使一家公司陷入困境。值得注意的是,珠江啤酒股份有限公司(SZSE:002461)確實持有債務。但是股東們是否應該擔心它的債務使用呢?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般來說,當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是通過自己的現金流。最壞的情況是,如果一個公司不能償還其債權人,它可能會破產。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以廉價的股價稀釋股東,只是爲了控制債務。話雖如此,最常見的情況是,一家公司可以合理管理債務,從而獲得自身的優勢。當我們審查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's Debt?

珠江啤酒的債務狀況如何?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery had debt of CN¥1.08b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥1.80b over a year. But it also has CN¥6.74b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥5.66b net cash.

您可以點擊下面的圖像了解更詳細的信息,顯示珠江啤酒在2024年3月末的債務爲10.8億元人民幣,較去年的18億元人民幣減少。但是,它還有67.4億元人民幣的現金來抵消,這意味着它有56.6億元人民幣的淨現金。

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SZSE:002461 Debt to Equity History July 12th 2024
SZSE:002461的資產負債率歷史數據截至2024年7月12日

How Healthy Is Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's Balance Sheet?

珠江啤酒的資產負債狀況如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery had liabilities of CN¥2.98b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥920.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥6.74b as well as receivables valued at CN¥27.0m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥2.87b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,珠江啤酒有298億元人民幣的到期債務負擔,以及9207萬元人民幣的到期負債。抵消這些義務的是它有674億元人民幣的現金以及價值2700萬元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,實際上它擁有287億元人民幣的流動資產超過總負債。

This surplus suggests that Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這份結餘表明珠江啤酒在使用債務方面顯然是安全和保守的。因爲它擁有大量資產,所以不太可能與其債權人有問題。簡而言之,珠江啤酒擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

Also good is that Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery grew its EBIT at 15% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

同樣的,珠江啤酒去年的EBIt增長了15%,進一步增加了處理債務的能力。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但是,與其說是現在的平衡表,不如說是未來的收益,將決定珠江啤酒未來是否能保持健康的平衡表。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看這份免費報告,其中顯示了分析師的盈利預測。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 67% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最後,一家公司只能用冰冷的現金而不是會計利潤來償還債務。儘管珠江啤酒在資產負債表上擁有淨現金,但我們仍然值得關注它將利潤利息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立或消耗現金平衡的速度。在過去的三年中,珠江啤酒產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其EBIt的67%,與我們的預期大致相當。這些冰冷的現金意味着它可以在希望償還債務時減少資產負債表上的絕對債務。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery has net cash of CN¥5.66b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 67% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥300m. So we don't think Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery you should be aware of.

雖然我們理解投資者對債務的擔憂,但是您需要記住,珠江啤酒擁有56.6億元人民幣的淨現金,以及比負債更多的流動資產。此外,今年EBIt的67%被轉化爲自由現金流,獲得了3億元人民幣。因此,我們認爲珠江啤酒的債務使用並不冒險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得有關債務的大多數信息。但是,最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表以外的風險。就拿這個例子來說:我們發現珠江啤酒存在1個警告信號,您應該了解其中的風險。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

總的來說,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包含這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關注內容?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋? 對內容感到擔憂? 請直接與我們聯繫。 或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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