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We Think PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) (SZSE:300725) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) (SZSE:300725) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我们认为医药集团科技南京证券(深圳证券交易所:300725)在负债方面存在风险。
Simply Wall St ·  07/12 03:15

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing), Inc. (SZSE:300725) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

传奇基金经理李璐(查理·芒格的支持者)曾说过:“最大的投资风险不在价格的波动性上,而在于你是否会遭受到永久性的资本损失。”当你考察一家公司的风险性时,考虑到公司的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业若要倒闭,通常涉及到债务。PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) Inc.(SZSE: 300725)实际上承担了债务。但真正的问题是这些债务是否让公司变得更具风险性。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助公司增长的一种工具,但是如果一家公司无力偿还债务,那它存在于债权人的掌握之中。最坏的情况是,一家公司无法支付债权人,导致破产。然而,往往更为频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以低于市场价格的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东的利益,只为了稳定其资产负债表。当然,债务带来的好处是,它通常代表着廉价的资本,尤其是当它代替了一家公司的发行新股时,而该公司有能力以高回报率再度投资时。在考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)'s Net Debt?

PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) had CN¥1.58b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥1.75b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥660.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥917.2m.

您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)的债务为人民币1580万,较去年同期的人民币1.75亿有所降低。但它确实有人民币6660万的现金抵消了这种情况,导致净债务约为人民币9172万。

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SZSE:300725 Debt to Equity History July 12th 2024
SZSE:300725的资产负债历史(2024年7月12日)

How Strong Is PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)'s Balance Sheet?

PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)的资产负债表有多稳健?

The latest balance sheet data shows that PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) had liabilities of CN¥868.8m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.22b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥660.6m and CN¥457.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥969.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)应在一年内偿还人民币8688万的负债,以及之后需要偿还人民币12.2亿的负债。但另一方面,它还有人民币6606万现金和人民币4571万的应收账款。所以,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的组合高出了人民币9693万元。

Given PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) has a market capitalization of CN¥5.82b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

考虑到PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)的市值为人民币58.2亿,很难相信这些负责会对公司构成多大的威胁。但实际上,这些负责足以让我们建议股东继续关注资产负债表,以后也是如此。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了对公司的债务相对于其收益进行规模适应,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比及其税前收益(EBIT)与利息支出之比(利息保障倍数)。因此,我们既考虑到不包括折旧和摊销费用在内的收益,又包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务。

PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)'s net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.4 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.5 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. We saw PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) grow its EBIT by 2.5% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)'s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)的净债务相当合理,为其EBITDA的2.4倍,而其EBIt仅覆盖了去年利息费用的5.5倍。虽然这没有让我们感到太担心,但确实表明利息支付有些负担。我们看到PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)在过去的十二个月中将其EBIt增长了2.5%。虽然这不会使我们大吃一惊,但在债务方面也是正面进展。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是一个显然的起点。但未来的盈利,尤其是将决定PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)的持有稳健资产负债表的能力。所以,如果你关注未来,可以查看分析师盈利预测的免费报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最后,尽管税务人员可能欣赏会计利润,但贷方只接受冷硬的现金。因此,值得检查有多少EBIt是由自由现金流支持的。在过去的三年中,PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)消耗了大量现金。尽管这可能是为了增长的支出,但它确实使得负债更加风险高涨。

Our View

我们的观点

PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)'s conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. But on the bright side, its ability to to handle its total liabilities isn't too shabby at all. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)'s debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)的EBIt转自由现金流是这项分析的一个真正的负面因素,但我们考虑的其他因素使其情况好了很多。但值得一提的是,它处理全部负债的能力也不差。综合考虑这些因素,我们认为PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)的负债对业务构成了一些风险。虽然这些债务可以促进回报,但我们认为该公司现在已经有足够的杠杆了。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到债务,但最终,每个公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。请注意:PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)在我们的投资分析中显示了2个警示信号,你应该知道……

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时更容易关注那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费查看零净债务增长股票列表,立即获得。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有反馈? 对内容感到担忧? 请直接与我们联系。 或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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