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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS)?

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 12 06:41

With its stock down 12% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Vipshop Holdings (NYSE:VIPS). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Specifically, we decided to study Vipshop Holdings' ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Vipshop Holdings is:

22% = CN¥8.7b ÷ CN¥39b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.22 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Vipshop Holdings' Earnings Growth And 22% ROE

To begin with, Vipshop Holdings seems to have a respectable ROE. Even when compared to the industry average of 20% the company's ROE looks quite decent. This certainly adds some context to Vipshop Holdings' moderate 18% net income growth seen over the past five years.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Vipshop Holdings' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 15% in the same period, which is great to see.

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NYSE:VIPS Past Earnings Growth July 12th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Vipshop Holdings fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Vipshop Holdings Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Vipshop Holdings has a low three-year median payout ratio of 20%, meaning that the company retains the remaining 80% of its profits. This suggests that the management is reinvesting most of the profits to grow the business.

Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 23%. Still, forecasts suggest that Vipshop Holdings' future ROE will drop to 17% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Summary

Overall, we are quite pleased with Vipshop Holdings' performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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