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Investor Optimism Abounds Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group) Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300408) But Growth Is Lacking

Investor Optimism Abounds Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group) Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300408) But Growth Is Lacking

投资者乐观看好潮州三环(集团)有限公司(深圳证券交易所:300408),但创业板缺乏增长。
Simply Wall St ·  07/12 20:41

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 34.3x Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group) Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300408) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 28x and even P/E's lower than 17x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group)Ltd certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

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SZSE:300408 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 13th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group)Ltd.

Is There Enough Growth For Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group)Ltd?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group)Ltd's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 26% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 9.3% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 20% each year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 25% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's alarming that Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group)Ltd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group)Ltd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Chaozhou Three-Circle (Group)Ltd that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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