Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Cinese International Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1620) share price has dived 29% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 65% share price decline.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Cinese International Group Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Hospitality industry is similar at about 0.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
SEHK:1620 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 14th 2024
How Has Cinese International Group Holdings Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Cinese International Group Holdings has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Cinese International Group Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Cinese International Group Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Cinese International Group Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 126% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 101% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 19% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it interesting that Cinese International Group Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Following Cinese International Group Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Cinese International Group Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Cinese International Group Holdings (2 don't sit too well with us!) that we have uncovered.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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