share_log

Is Want Want China Holdings (HKG:151) A Risky Investment?

中国旺旺ホールディングス(HKG:151)はリスクのある投資ですか?

Simply Wall St ·  07/14 21:37

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Want Want China Holdings Limited (HKG:151) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

What Is Want Want China Holdings's Debt?

As you can see below, Want Want China Holdings had CN¥5.35b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But it also has CN¥8.42b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥3.07b net cash.

big
SEHK:151 Debt to Equity History July 15th 2024

A Look At Want Want China Holdings' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Want Want China Holdings had liabilities of CN¥8.24b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.81b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥8.42b in cash and CN¥832.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.80b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Want Want China Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥52.3b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Want Want China Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

And we also note warmly that Want Want China Holdings grew its EBIT by 15% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Want Want China Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Want Want China Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Want Want China Holdings recorded free cash flow of 47% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Want Want China Holdings's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥3.07b. And it also grew its EBIT by 15% over the last year. So is Want Want China Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Want Want China Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

これらの内容は、情報提供及び投資家教育のためのものであり、いかなる個別株や投資方法を推奨するものではありません。 更に詳しい情報
    コメントする