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China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002542) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 27% Price Plummet

チャイナ・チョンファ ジオテクニカル エンジニアリング グループ(中国中华地质工程集团)株式会社(SZSE:002542)が最近27%急落したため、早すぎる展開を実行した可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  07/15 18:43

The China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002542) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 48% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Construction industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

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SZSE:002542 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 15th 2024

How China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group Has Been Performing

China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 16% last year. Still, revenue has fallen 61% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 14% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Following China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

The fact that China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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