With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.5x Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation Limited (SHSE:601928) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 29x and even P/E's higher than 54x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
SHSE:601928 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 16th 2024 Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 35% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 39% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 10% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 24% per annum, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's P/E?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.
You might be able to find a better investment than Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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