There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at AGCO (NYSE:AGCO) so let's look a bit deeper.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for AGCO, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.17 = US$1.6b ÷ (US$13b - US$4.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
So, AGCO has an ROCE of 17%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Machinery industry average of 13% it's much better.
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240716/0-5aa4c98b2c69569e3da046cf4f04b20e-0-f4bc5960c3ed17a4cd92f0d80d9b3899.png/big)
In the above chart we have measured AGCO's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering AGCO for free.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
We like the trends that we're seeing from AGCO. The data shows that returns on capital have increased substantially over the last five years to 17%. Basically the business is earning more per dollar of capital invested and in addition to that, 80% more capital is being employed now too. The increasing returns on a growing amount of capital is common amongst multi-baggers and that's why we're impressed.
What We Can Learn From AGCO's ROCE
To sum it up, AGCO has proven it can reinvest in the business and generate higher returns on that capital employed, which is terrific. And investors seem to expect more of this going forward, since the stock has rewarded shareholders with a 55% return over the last five years. Therefore, we think it would be worth your time to check if these trends are going to continue.
On a final note, we found 2 warning signs for AGCO (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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