Is Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) (SHSE:601231) A Risky Investment?
Is Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) (SHSE:601231) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601231) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,通常会关注其债务使用情况,因为过度负债可能会导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,上海通用科技股份有限公司(SHSE:601231)使用债务。但是股东是否应该担心其债务使用情况?霍华德·马克斯(Howard Marks)非常准确地表达了这一点,他说与其担心股价波动性,“我担心的是永久性损失的可能性......我认识的每个实际投资者都会担心这个问题。”
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
债务协助企业,直到企业使用新的资本或者自由现金流解决还清债务的问题。如果公司不能履行偿还债务的法律义务,最终股东可能啥也得不到。然而,更常见的情况是,公司必须以低于市价的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是,公司合理地管理其债务并使其受益。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是将现金和负债放在一起考虑。
What Is Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai)'s Net Debt?
上海通用科技股份有限公司的净债务是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) had CN¥8.66b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥13.1b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥4.40b.
下面的图表,您可以点击以获取更详细信息,显示上海通用科技股份有限公司于2024年3月有约86.6亿元的债务;与前一年大致相同。然而,它确实有131亿元的现金抵消了这一点,导致净现金为44亿元。
How Strong Is Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai)'s Balance Sheet?
上海通用科技股份有限公司的资产负债表有多强?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) had liabilities of CN¥17.4b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥4.35b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥13.1b as well as receivables valued at CN¥8.41b due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,上海通用科技股份有限公司有174亿元的短期债务,并且有43.5亿元的到期债务。抵消这些义务,它有131亿元的现金以及价值84.1亿元的应收款项在12个月内到期。因此,它的总负债几乎完全与其短期的流动资产相匹配。
Having regard to Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai)'s size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥37.8b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
考虑到上海通用科技股份有限公司的规模,看起来其流动资产和总负债已经很好地平衡了。因此,这家378亿元的公司很不可能缺现金,但仍值得密切关注资产负债表。虽然它确实有值得注意的负债,但上海通用科技股份有限公司的现金比债务多,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理其债务。
In fact Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai)'s saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 31% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
事实上,上海通用科技股份有限公司的救命稻草是其低负债水平,因为其EBIt在过去12个月中下降了31%。在偿还债务方面,下降的盈利与含糖的苏打水对健康一样毫无用处。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始的明显位置。但是,最终企业未来的盈利能力将决定上海通用科技股份有限公司是否能够随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看这份免费报告,其中显示了分析师的盈利预测。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) recorded free cash flow worth 73% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但出借人只接受冰冷的现金。尽管上海通用科技股份有限公司在资产负债表上有净现金,但看看业务如何将利息和税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流是很有趣的,因为这将影响它管理债务的需求和能力。在最近的三年中,上海通用科技股份有限公司的自由现金流价值相当于EBIt的73%,这是正常水平,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税。这笔自由现金流使该公司在适当时期偿还债务处于良好的位置。
Summing Up
总之
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) has CN¥4.40b in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥3.9b, being 73% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai)'s debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Universal Scientific Industrial (Shanghai) is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
虽然审视公司的总债务总是明智的,但上海通用科技股份有限公司有44亿元的净现金非常令人放心。它的自由现金流为39亿元,为其EBIt的73%留下了深刻的印象。所以,我们对上海通用科技股份有限公司的债务使用不感到担忧。当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是要重点关注的区域。然而,并非所有的投资风险都在资产负债表内——远非如此。请注意,上海通用科技股份有限公司在我们的投资分析中显示了1个警告信号,您应该知道......
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有负债负担的股票的投资者,则今天就可以发现我们的独家净现金增长股清单。
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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
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