Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Walvax Biotechnology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300142) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does Walvax Biotechnology Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Walvax Biotechnology had CN¥791.0m of debt, an increase on CN¥409.8m, over one year. But it also has CN¥4.11b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥3.32b net cash.
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A Look At Walvax Biotechnology's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Walvax Biotechnology had liabilities of CN¥2.98b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥975.5m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.11b and CN¥3.22b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥3.38b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity suggests that Walvax Biotechnology is taking a careful approach to debt. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Walvax Biotechnology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Walvax Biotechnology if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 47% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Walvax Biotechnology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Walvax Biotechnology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Considering the last three years, Walvax Biotechnology actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Walvax Biotechnology has net cash of CN¥3.32b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Walvax Biotechnology's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Walvax Biotechnology .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com