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We Think You Can Look Beyond Suga International Holdings' (HKG:912) Lackluster Earnings

We Think You Can Look Beyond Suga International Holdings' (HKG:912) Lackluster Earnings

我們認爲你可以超越SUGA國際控股(HKG:912)平淡的盈利。
Simply Wall St ·  07/17 18:26

Suga International Holdings Limited's (HKG:912) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. While the headline numbers were soft, we believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors.

Suga International Holdings Limited(HKG:912)上週的盈利公告並未讓股東印象深刻。雖然頭條數字不盡如人意,但我們認爲投資者可能會忽略一些令人鼓舞的因素。

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SEHK:912 Earnings and Revenue History July 17th 2024
SEHK:912收益和營業收入歷史,2024年7月17日

A Closer Look At Suga International Holdings' Earnings

深入分析Suga International Holdings的盈利情況

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

許多投資者沒有聽說過從現金流計算的應計比率,但這實際上是一個衡量公司利潤在特定期間內是否由自由現金流(FCF)支持的有用度量。簡單地說,此比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,再將該數字除以公司在該期間內的平均營運資產。你可以把從現金流計算的應計比率看作是“非自由現金流利潤比率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當一個公司應記比率爲負數時,實際上這被視爲一件好事,而如果該比率爲正數則被視爲一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心正的應記比率,但值得注意的是,當應計比率相當高時,引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇論文"高應計的公司未來的盈利能力較差"。

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Suga International Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of -0.17. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of HK$155m, well over the HK$32.1m it reported in profit. Suga International Holdings' free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在2023年3月的十二個月中,Suga International Holdings記錄了-0.17的應計比率。因此,它的法定收益大大低於其自由現金流。確實,在過去的十二個月中,公司報告的自由現金流爲1,5500萬港元,遠高於其3,210萬港元的利潤。Suga International Holdings的自由現金流在過去一年中有所改善,這通常是一個好現象。話雖如此,故事還有其他方面。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目對其法定利潤及應計比率產生了影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Suga International Holdings.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。請點擊此處查看我們對Suga International Holdings資產負債表的分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Suga International Holdings' profit was boosted by unusual items worth HK$3.9m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Suga International Holdings doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

儘管應計比率似乎是一個好兆頭,但我們也注意到,在過去的十二個月中,Suga International Holdings的利潤受到了390萬港元的不尋常項目的推動。我們無法否認,更高的利潤通常會讓我們感到樂觀,但如果利潤可以持續增長,那麼我們會更喜歡它。當我們分析全球大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大的不尋常項目通常不會重複出現。這是預料之中的,因爲這些提振被稱爲“不尋常”。如果Suga International Holdings沒有看到貢獻的重複,那麼其他一切都完全一樣,我們預計其利潤在本年度將下降。

Our Take On Suga International Holdings' Profit Performance

我們對Suga International Holdings的利潤業績的看法

Suga International Holdings' profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Suga International Holdings' profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. You'd be interested to know, that we found 3 warning signs for Suga International Holdings and you'll want to know about these bad boys.

Suga International Holdings的利潤受到不尋常項目的提振,表明它們可能無法持續存在,儘管其應計比率仍表明其現金轉化能力強,這很有前途。考慮到所有上述因素,我們推斷Suga International Holdings的利潤結果是其真實盈利能力的相當好的指標,儘管有點保守。請記住,在分析股票時,需要注意相關風險。您會感興趣知道,我們發現了Suga International Holdings的3個警告信號,您需要知道這些不良消息。

Our examination of Suga International Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

我們對Suga International Holdings進行的審查主要關注了能夠讓其收益表現得比實際情況更好的某些因素。但如果您能將注意力集中在細節上,就總能發現更多的東西。例如,許多人認爲高的股本回報率是有利的商業經濟指標,而其他人則喜歡“跟隨資金”並尋找內部人員正在購買的股票。因此,您可能希望查看此免費的高股本回報率公司收藏,或者此高內部所有權股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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