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Zhongjin Gold Corp.,Ltd (SHSE:600489) Stock Rockets 27% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 17 18:51

Zhongjin Gold Corp.,Ltd (SHSE:600489) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 62% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Zhongjin GoldLtd's P/E ratio of 27.4x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in China is also close to 28x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Recent times have been advantageous for Zhongjin GoldLtd as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

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SHSE:600489 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 17th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Zhongjin GoldLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Zhongjin GoldLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 65%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 69% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 14% per annum as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 24% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's curious that Zhongjin GoldLtd's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Zhongjin GoldLtd's P/E?

Zhongjin GoldLtd appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Zhongjin GoldLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Zhongjin GoldLtd that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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