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Take Care Before Jumping Onto Chongqing Zongshen Power Machinery Co.,Ltd (SZSE:001696) Even Though It's 26% Cheaper

重慶宗申動力機械股份有限公司(SZSE:001696)に飛び込む前に注意してください。26%安いですが。

Simply Wall St ·  07/18 18:36

Chongqing Zongshen Power Machinery Co.,Ltd (SZSE:001696) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 39%, which is great even in a bull market.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Chongqing Zongshen Power MachineryLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 28x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Chongqing Zongshen Power MachineryLtd could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

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SZSE:001696 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 18th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Chongqing Zongshen Power MachineryLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Chongqing Zongshen Power MachineryLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.4%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 40% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 37% per year as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 24% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's curious that Chongqing Zongshen Power MachineryLtd's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Chongqing Zongshen Power MachineryLtd's P/E

Chongqing Zongshen Power MachineryLtd's plummeting stock price has brought its P/E right back to the rest of the market. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Chongqing Zongshen Power MachineryLtd currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Chongqing Zongshen Power MachineryLtd (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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