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It's Down 26% But ClouDr Group Limited (HKG:9955) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

ClouDr Group Limited (HKG:9955)は26%下落していますが、見た目以上に危険かもしれません。

Simply Wall St ·  07/19 18:57

ClouDr Group Limited (HKG:9955) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 76% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, considering around half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Healthcare industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1x, you may consider ClouDr Group as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SEHK:9955 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 19th 2024

How Has ClouDr Group Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, ClouDr Group has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on ClouDr Group.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

ClouDr Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 24%. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 22% each year during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 15% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we find it odd that ClouDr Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

ClouDr Group's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

ClouDr Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for ClouDr Group with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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