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These 4 Measures Indicate That Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical (SHSE:600566) Is Using Debt Safely

These 4 Measures Indicate That Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical (SHSE:600566) Is Using Debt Safely

這4項措施表明濟川藥業(SHSE:600566)合理使用債務
Simply Wall St ·  07/19 20:13

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600566) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理李錄(得到查理·芒格支持)曾說:“最大的投資風險不在於價格波動,而在於是否會遭受到永久性的資本損失。”所以當你考慮任何股票的風險時,需要考慮負債,因爲過多的負債可能會使公司破產。重要的是要看,濟川藥業股份有限公司 (SHSE:600566) 確實存在負債。但真正的問題是,這些負債是否會讓公司變得風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法輕鬆地通過自由現金流或以具有吸引力的價格籌集資本來支付債務和其他負債時,債務和其他負債對企業構成風險。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法支付其債權人,則會破產。然而,一種更爲頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久地稀釋股東,以彌補其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表着廉價資本,尤其是當它代替稀釋在一家公司具有高回報率的投資能力的時候。考慮公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務視爲一體。

What Is Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical's Debt?

濟川藥業的債務是什麼?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical had CN¥1.69b of debt, up from CN¥400.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥12.8b in cash, leading to a CN¥11.1b net cash position.

如下圖所示,在2024年3月底,濟川藥業的債務金額爲16.9億人民幣,比一年前的4千萬人民幣增加。但另一方面,它還擁有128億人民幣的現金,形成了111億人民幣的淨現金頭寸。

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SHSE:600566 Debt to Equity History July 20th 2024
SHSE:600566資產負債率歷史變化圖(截至2024年7月20日)

A Look At Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical's Liabilities

看看濟川藥業的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical had liabilities of CN¥4.96b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥184.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥12.8b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.04b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥9.73b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

從最近的資產負債表中可以看出,濟川藥業有4960萬人民幣的短期債務,以及1842萬人民幣的長期債務。抵銷這些債務,它擁有128億人民幣的現金,以及2040萬人民幣的應收賬款。所以其流動資產比總負債多了97.3億人民幣。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Simply put, the fact that Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種過剩的流動資金對於分析濟川藥業的資產負債表非常有幫助。考慮到這一點,我們可以說它的資產負債表意味着公司能夠處理一些逆境。簡而言之,濟川藥業擁有的現金大於債務,可以安全地管理其債務,這可能是一個好的跡象。

Also positive, Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical grew its EBIT by 26% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

此外,濟川藥業去年EBIT增長26%,這應該使其更容易償還債務。顯然,資產負債表是分析負債時需要關注的領域。但最終,公司未來的盈利能力將決定濟川藥業能否隨着時間的推移增強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

最後,雖然稅務部門可能喜歡會計利潤,但放貸人只接受冷硬的現金。雖然濟川藥業在其資產負債表上有淨現金,但值得看的是它將利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它構建(或侵蝕)資金的速度。值得高興的是,過去三年,濟川藥業實際上產生的自由現金流比EBIT還要多。對於放貸人而言,沒有比收到現金更好的了。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical has CN¥11.1b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 110% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥3.2b. When it comes to Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical's debt, we sufficiently relaxed that our mind turns to the jacuzzi. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

雖然調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,濟川藥業有人民幣111億的淨現金和看起來不錯的資產負債表。此外,它將EBIT的110%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了32億元的自由現金流。對於濟川藥業的債務,我們足夠放鬆,以至於我們的思維會轉向按摩浴缸。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域,但並不是所有的投資風險都存於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,濟川藥業有1個我們認爲您應該了解的警告標誌。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

總的來說,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包含這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?對內容感到擔憂?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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