Meihao Medical Group Co., Ltd (HKG:1947) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 3.1% isn't as attractive.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Healthcare industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1x, you may consider Meihao Medical Group as a stock not worth researching with its 3.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
SEHK:1947 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 21st 2024
How Has Meihao Medical Group Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Meihao Medical Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Meihao Medical Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Meihao Medical Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Meihao Medical Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 42% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 13% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Meihao Medical Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Meihao Medical Group's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in Meihao Medical Group have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Meihao Medical Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Meihao Medical Group (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com