Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass (SZSE:300395) Jumps 9.9% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Five-year Shareholder Returns
Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass (SZSE:300395) Jumps 9.9% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Five-year Shareholder Returns
The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. For example, the Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300395) share price has soared 173% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. On top of that, the share price is up 12% in about a quarter.
购买一家公司的股票后(假设不使用杠杆),最糟糕的结果是亏掉所投入的所有资金。但值得一提的是,一家好公司的股票价格可以上涨超过100%。例如,菲利华(SZSE:300395)在过去的半个十年里股价上涨了173%。大多数人都会感到非常高兴。此外,股价在约一个季度的时间里上涨了12%。
Since the stock has added CN¥1.5b to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.
由于该股票在过去一周内增加了15亿人民币的市值,让我们看看其基本业绩是否支撑其长期回报。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
市场有时无疑是高效的,但价格并不总是反映基础业务表现。 一种检查市场情绪如何随时间改变的方法是查看公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
During five years of share price growth, Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 21% per year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 22% per year. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.
在五年的股价增长中,菲利华实现了每股收益的复合增长率达21%。因此,每股收益增长率与年化股价增长率22%非常接近。因此,可以得出结论,股票的人气并未发生很大变化。事实上,股票价格似乎主要反映了每股收益的增长。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
该公司的每股收益(随时间的推移)如下图所示(单击可查看确切数字)。
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
查看我们关于菲利华的收益、营收和现金流的免费报告,非常值得。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass, it has a TSR of 180% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
对于任何一只股票,考虑总股东回报率和股价回报率都非常重要。TSR包括任何剥离或折价融资的价值以及任何分红,基于分红再投资的假设。可以说,对于支付股息的股票,TSR提供了更完整的图片。对于菲利华而言,过去5年TSR为180%。这超过了其先前提到的股价回报。毫无疑问,分红付款在很大程度上解释了这种差异!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
While the broader market lost about 15% in the twelve months, Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass shareholders did even worse, losing 25% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 23%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass that you should be aware of.
虽然整个市场在过去的12个月中下跌了约15%,但菲利华的股东表现得更差,包括分红在内损失了25%。然而,股价也可能受到整个市场的不安影响。值得关注的是基本面,以便把握好机会。长期投资者不会感到太沮丧,因为他们每年能够获得23%的利润,这种利润在过去的五年里已经实现。如果基本数据继续显示出长期的可持续增长,当前的抛售可能值得考虑。虽然考虑市场状况对股价的不同影响非常值得,但其他因素更加重要。例如,我们已经确认了一项针对菲利华的警告信号,您应该注意。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
对于那些喜欢寻找获胜投资的人来说,最近有内部购买的低估公司免费列表可能是一个很好的选择。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
对本文有反馈?对内容感到担忧?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。