Shenzhen Genvict Technologies Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002869) shares have retraced a considerable 27% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 42% in the last year.
Although its price has dipped substantially, Shenzhen Genvict Technologies may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 77.5x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 28x and even P/E's lower than 17x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Shenzhen Genvict Technologies has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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Is There Enough Growth For Shenzhen Genvict Technologies?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Shenzhen Genvict Technologies' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 185%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 88% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Genvict Technologies is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Shenzhen Genvict Technologies' P/E?
Even after such a strong price drop, Shenzhen Genvict Technologies' P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Shenzhen Genvict Technologies currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware Shenzhen Genvict Technologies is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are potentially serious.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Genvict Technologies' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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