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Are Shenzhen SED Industry Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000032) Mixed Financials The Reason For Its Gloomy Performance on The Stock Market?

Are Shenzhen SED Industry Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000032) Mixed Financials The Reason For Its Gloomy Performance on The Stock Market?

深桑達是其混合財務狀況導致在股市表現低迷的原因嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  07/21 21:55

With its stock down 14% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Shenzhen SED Industry (SZSE:000032). We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. In this article, we decided to focus on Shenzhen SED Industry's ROE.

深桑達a(SZSE:000032)的股價在過去三個月下跌了14%,很容易被忽視。然而,我們決定研究該公司的財務狀況,以判斷其是否與股價下跌有關。基本面通常決定市場結果,因此研究公司的財務狀況是有意義的。在本文中,我們決定着重關注深桑達a的ROE。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

淨資產收益率(ROE)是衡量公司增值和管理投資者資金有效性的測試。換句話說,它是一種盈利能力比率,用於衡量公司股東提供的資金回報率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

The formula for return on equity is:

權益回報率的計算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen SED Industry is:

因此,根據上述公式,深桑達a的ROE爲:

7.5% = CN¥896m ÷ CN¥12b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

7.5%= CN¥89600萬÷ CN¥120億(基於截至2024年3月的過去12個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.07 in profit.

這個“回報”是指公司過去一年的盈利。另一種思考方式是,對於每1元人民幣的股權,公司能夠賺取0.07元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE對於盈利增長的重要性是什麼?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到 ROE 是衡量公司盈利能力的一種指標。現在,我們需要評估公司重新投資或“保留”的利潤有多少,以此來衡量公司的成長潛力。其他因素相同的情況下,具有更高的股本回報率和更高的利潤保留的公司通常比沒有相同特徵的公司具有更高的增長率。

A Side By Side comparison of Shenzhen SED Industry's Earnings Growth And 7.5% ROE

深桑達a的盈利增長和7.5%ROE的並排比較

On the face of it, Shenzhen SED Industry's ROE is not much to talk about. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.3%. But then again, Shenzhen SED Industry's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 15%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

乍一看,深桑達a的ROE似乎沒有多少可言之處。然而,經過更深入的研究,公司的ROE與7.3%的行業平均水平相似。但是,深桑達a的淨收入在過去五年以15%的速度下降。請記住,公司的ROE一開始就有點低。因此,這在解釋萎縮的收益方面起到了一定作用。

However, when we compared Shenzhen SED Industry's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 7.8% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,當我們將深桑達a的增長與行業相比較時,我們發現儘管公司的收益正在下降,但行業在同一時期內實現了7.8%的收益增長。這真的很令人擔憂。

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SZSE:000032 Past Earnings Growth July 22nd 2024
SZSE:000032過去的盈利增長(2024年7月22日)

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Shenzhen SED Industry fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。投資者現在需要確定的是預期的盈利增長是否已經反映在股價中,或者缺乏它是否已經反映在股價中。通過這樣做,他們將了解股票是否進入了清晰的藍色水域,或者是否等待着沼澤水域。深桑達a與其他公司相比的公正估值是什麼?這3個估值指標可能會幫助您決定。

Is Shenzhen SED Industry Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

深桑達a是否有效地重新投資其利潤?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 34% (or a retention ratio of 66%) which is pretty normal, Shenzhen SED Industry's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

查看其三年的中位數股息支付比率爲34%(或留存比率爲66%),這是相當正常的,深桑達a的盈利下降仍然令人困惑,因爲人們本應該期望看到公司在留存利潤的情況下有相當程度的增長。因此,在這方面可能有一些其他的解釋。例如,公司的業務可能正在惡化。此外,深桑達a最近才開始支付股息。因此,看起來管理層可能認爲股東們更喜歡股息,即使收益一直在下降。我們最新的分析師數據顯示,預計公司未來的股息支付比率將在未來三年內降至25%。然而,儘管預期的股息支付比率較低,該公司的ROE預計不會有太大改變。

Additionally, Shenzhen SED Industry started paying a dividend only recently. So it looks like the management may have perceived that shareholders favor dividends even though earnings have been in decline. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 25% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the lower expected payout ratio.

總體而言,我們對深桑達a保持着複雜的感覺。儘管公司具有高比率的重新投資,但低ROE意味着重新投資所帶來的全部收益都沒有爲投資者帶來任何好處,並且還對盈利增長產生了負面影響。因此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師預計該公司的盈利增長率將會有巨大的提高。這些分析師的預期是基於對行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處轉到我們的分析師預測頁面。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Shenzhen SED Industry. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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