To the annoyance of some shareholders, ZX Inc. (HKG:9890) shares are down a considerable 28% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it would still be understandable if you think ZX is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.9x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Entertainment industry have P/S ratios above 1.7x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How ZX Has Been Performing
For instance, ZX's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on ZX will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on ZX's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For ZX?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, ZX would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 26% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 127% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 20%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring
In light of this, it's peculiar that ZX's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On ZX's P/S
The southerly movements of ZX's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We're very surprised to see ZX currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for ZX (3 are concerning!) that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of ZX's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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