Is Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share (SZSE:000837) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share (SZSE:000837) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000837) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
伯克希尔哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李璐毫不掩饰地说:“最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。”当你检查一个公司的风险时,考虑其资产负债表是很自然的,因为债务在商业崩溃时经常涉及。重要的是,金川机床刀具股份有限公司(SZSE:000837)的确存在债务。但股东们是否应该担心它的债务使用?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
当一个企业无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资本来轻松地完成债务和其他负债时,债务和其他负债就会对企业构成风险。 资本主义的必然过程是“创造性破坏”,这些失败的企业将被他们的银行毫不留情地清算。 但是,更频繁的(但仍然代价高昂的)情况是,一家公司必须以低得惊人的价格发行股票,不断稀释股东,以稳定其资产负债表。 当然,许多公司使用债务资金来支持业务增长,没有任何负面影响。 在考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是考虑其现金和债务。
What Is Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share's Debt?
金川机床刀具股份有限公司的债务是什么?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share had CN¥1.03b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥1.30b, one year before. But it also has CN¥1.85b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥819.7m net cash.
你可以点击下面的图表查看历史数字,但它显示,金川机床刀具股份有限公司在2024年3月有10.3亿元的债务,比一年前的13亿元下降。但它还有18.5亿元的现金来抵消这个,这意味着它有81,970万元的净现金。
How Healthy Is Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share's Balance Sheet?
金川机床刀具股份有限公司的资产负债表状况如何?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share had liabilities of CN¥3.28b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.06b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.85b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.69b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥791.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
仔细查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,金川机床刀具股份有限公司在12个月内有32.8亿元的债务到期,超过12个月有10.6亿元的债务到期。抵消这些义务,它有18.5亿元的现金以及16.9亿元的应收账款在12个月内到期。所以它的负债总额比它的现金和短期应收账款加起来还多,高达79150万人民币。
Of course, Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share has a market capitalization of CN¥7.76b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
当然,金川机床刀具股份有限公司的市值为77.6亿元,因此这些负债可能是可以管理的。尽管有这些显著的负债,金川机床刀具股份有限公司拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始的明显场所。但你不能孤立地看债务;因为金川机床刀具股份有限公司需要盈利来偿还债务。因此,如果你想了解更多关于其收益的信息,可以查看其长期收益趋势图。
In the last year Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 6.4%, to CN¥3.7b. That's not what we would hope to see.
在过去的一年中,金川机床刀具股份有限公司在利息和税前亏损,并实际上使其收入减少了6.4%,达到3.7亿元。这不是我们希望看到的。
So How Risky Is Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share?
金川机床刀具股份有限公司的风险有多大?
While Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥20m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share .
尽管金川机床刀具股份有限公司在利息和税前(EBIT)水平上亏损,但它实际上获得了2000万元的纸面利润。所以,从这个价值上看,考虑到现金,我们认为短期内它并不非常具有风险性。在我们看到一些积极的EBIt之前,我们对这支股票还是有点谨慎的,尤其是因为收入增长相当温和。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要集中注意的领域。但最终,每个公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。为此,你应该意识到我们发现的这个与金川机床刀具股份有限公司有关的2个警告信号。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
说到底,有时更容易关注那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费查看零净债务增长股票列表,立即获得。
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