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Is Xiamen Changelight (SZSE:300102) A Risky Investment?

Is Xiamen Changelight (SZSE:300102) A Risky Investment?

乾照光電(SZSE:300102)是一項高風險的投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  07/23 20:15

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Xiamen Changelight Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300102) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

當我們考慮一個公司的風險時,往往喜歡了解其債務使用情況,因爲債務過度將導致毀滅性打擊。但重要的是,乾照光電股份有限公司(SZSE:300102)的確存在債務。股東們應該擔心它的債務使用情況嗎?David Iben說得很好:「波動性不是我們所關心的風險。我們所關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當一家企業無法輕鬆履行債務和其他負債時,這些債務就變得有風險了,無論是通過自由現金流還是以有吸引力的價格籌集資金。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法償付債權人的債務,可能會破產。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,公司不得不以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的利益。當然,很多公司利用債務來資助增長,而沒有任何負面後果。考慮一家公司的債務水平時的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Xiamen Changelight Carry?

乾照光電負債情況如何?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Xiamen Changelight had CN¥1.48b of debt, up from CN¥1.33b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.31b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥165.4m.

正如您在下面看到的,截至2024年3月底,乾照光電的債務總額爲14.8億人民幣,較去年的13.3億人民幣有所增加。點擊圖像以獲取更多詳細信息。相反,它有13.1億人民幣的現金,導致淨債務約爲16540萬人民幣。

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SZSE:300102 Debt to Equity History July 24th 2024
SZSE:300102股權負債歷史記錄2024年7月24日

How Healthy Is Xiamen Changelight's Balance Sheet?

乾照光電的資產負債表狀況如何?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Xiamen Changelight had liabilities of CN¥1.58b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥962.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.31b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.19b due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

根據最後一份財務報表,乾照光電的短期負債爲15.8億元人民幣,長期負債爲9627萬元人民幣。抵銷這些負債,它有13.1億元人民幣的現金以及價值11.9億元人民幣的應收賬款在短期內到期。因此,這些流動資產大致匹配總負債。

This state of affairs indicates that Xiamen Changelight's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥5.14b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.

這種情況表明乾照光電的資產負債表看起來相當穩健,因爲其總負債僅略高於其流動資產。因此,雖然很難想象這家514億元人民幣的公司會出現資金緊張的狀況,但我們仍認爲,值得密切關注其資產負債表的狀況。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

BJ批發俱樂部控股公司的淨債務只有EBITDA的0.62倍。而其EBIT輕鬆覆蓋其利息費用,比例爲12.6倍。因此,我們對其超級保守的債務使用感到相當放心。雖然BJ批發俱樂部控股公司在EBIT方面沒有取得太多進展,但至少其盈利保持穩定。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的切入點。但歸根結底,企業未來的盈利能力將決定BJ批發俱樂部控股公司能否隨着時間的推移加強資產負債表。因此,如果你要關注未來,可以查看一下這份免費的分析報告,了解分析師的盈利預測。

Xiamen Changelight has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.38 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 1.6 times the interest expense. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Notably, Xiamen Changelight made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of CN¥52m in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Xiamen Changelight's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

乾照光電的淨債務與EBITDA比率非常低,爲0.38,因此很奇怪爲什麼利息覆蓋率較低,在去年的EBIT僅爲利息支出的1.6倍。因此,無論如何,債務水平顯然並不微不足道。值得注意的是,去年乾照光電在EBIT層面上虧損,但在過去的十二個月中,它改善了EBIT爲5200萬元人民幣的正收益。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了債務方面的大部分信息。但對乾照光電的收益影響資產負債表的保持情況,是值得考慮債務時看一看的趨勢。單擊此處獲取交互式快照。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, Xiamen Changelight burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,雖然稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冰冷的現金。因此,檢查其利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲實際自由現金流的比率非常重要。在過去的一年中,乾照光電燒掉了大量現金。雖然投資者無疑希望這種情況會在未來逆轉,但確實意味着其債務使用更加冒險。

Our View

我們的觀點

While Xiamen Changelight's interest cover makes us cautious about it, its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow is no better. But at least its net debt to EBITDA is a gleaming silver lining to those clouds. We think that Xiamen Changelight's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Xiamen Changelight that you should be aware of before investing here.

雖然乾照光電的利息覆蓋率讓我們對它持謹慎態度,但它將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的歷史記錄並不好。但至少,其淨債務與EBITDA比率爲這些雲形陰影中的一個閃亮的白銀襯裏。考慮到上述數據點後,我們認爲乾照光電的債務確實帶來了一些風險,但這不一定是壞事,因爲槓桿作用可提高股本回報率,但這是需要注意的問題。我們毫無疑問從資產負債表上獲得了債務方面的大部分信息,然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中--這一點離現實還很遠。例如,在在此之前,我們已經發現了一個警告信號,說在投資此處之前,您需要知悉的一個信號。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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