The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Xiamen King Long Motor Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600686) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
What Is Xiamen King Long Motor Group's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Xiamen King Long Motor Group had CN¥6.26b of debt, an increase on CN¥5.59b, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥8.35b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.10b net cash.
A Look At Xiamen King Long Motor Group's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Xiamen King Long Motor Group had liabilities of CN¥17.9b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥5.07b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥8.35b in cash and CN¥5.28b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥9.38b.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CN¥9.07b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. Given that Xiamen King Long Motor Group has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Xiamen King Long Motor Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Xiamen King Long Motor Group reported revenue of CN¥20b, which is a gain of 3.0%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
So How Risky Is Xiamen King Long Motor Group?
Although Xiamen King Long Motor Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of CN¥82m. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. We're not impressed by its revenue growth, so until we see some positive sustainable EBIT, we consider the stock to be high risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Xiamen King Long Motor Group (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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