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BorgWarner Inc. (NYSE:BWA) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

ボルグワーナー(nyse:BWA)株価は下落していますが、基本的なファンダメンタルズはまずまずです。市場は将来的に株価を修正するでしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  07/24 06:04

It is hard to get excited after looking at BorgWarner's (NYSE:BWA) recent performance, when its stock has declined 5.7% over the past week. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Particularly, we will be paying attention to BorgWarner's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for BorgWarner is:

12% = US$749m ÷ US$6.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.12 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

BorgWarner's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

To begin with, BorgWarner seems to have a respectable ROE. And on comparing with the industry, we found that the the average industry ROE is similar at 12%. Despite this, BorgWarner's five year net income growth was quite flat over the past five years. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that's limiting the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that BorgWarner's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 14% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

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NYSE:BWA Past Earnings Growth July 24th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about BorgWarner's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is BorgWarner Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

BorgWarner's low three-year median payout ratio of 24%, (meaning the company retains76% of profits) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see higher growth than it has reported.

Additionally, BorgWarner has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 8.7% over the next three years. Despite the lower expected payout ratio, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much.

Summary

In total, it does look like BorgWarner has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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