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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Fu Shou Yuan International Group Limited (HKG:1448)?

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 25 18:28

It is hard to get excited after looking at Fu Shou Yuan International Group's (HKG:1448) recent performance, when its stock has declined 9.3% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Fu Shou Yuan International Group's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Fu Shou Yuan International Group is:

15% = CN¥976m ÷ CN¥6.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each HK$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made HK$0.15 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Fu Shou Yuan International Group's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

To start with, Fu Shou Yuan International Group's ROE looks acceptable. Even when compared to the industry average of 15% the company's ROE looks quite decent. This probably goes some way in explaining Fu Shou Yuan International Group's moderate 9.5% growth over the past five years amongst other factors.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Fu Shou Yuan International Group's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 5.7% in the same period, which is great to see.

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SEHK:1448 Past Earnings Growth July 25th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Fu Shou Yuan International Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Fu Shou Yuan International Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Fu Shou Yuan International Group has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 34% (or a retention ratio of 66%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

Additionally, Fu Shou Yuan International Group has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 33%. As a result, Fu Shou Yuan International Group's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 16% for future ROE.

Conclusion

Overall, we are quite pleased with Fu Shou Yuan International Group's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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