Keli Motor Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002892) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 10% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Keli Motor Group is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.6x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electrical industry have P/S ratios below 2x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
SZSE:002892 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 25th 2024
What Does Keli Motor Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Keli Motor Group has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Keli Motor Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Keli Motor Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Keli Motor Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 13% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 20% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 23% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Keli Motor Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
There's still some elevation in Keli Motor Group's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Keli Motor Group revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Keli Motor Group (of which 2 are significant!) you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com