Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting Systems Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:601799) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.3x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 26x and even P/E's below 16x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Is There Enough Growth For Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 31% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 14% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 25% per annum over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 24% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
In light of this, it's curious that Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's P/E
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com