US$857 - That's What Analysts Think KLA Corporation (NASDAQ:KLAC) Is Worth After These Results
US$857 - That's What Analysts Think KLA Corporation (NASDAQ:KLAC) Is Worth After These Results
Shareholders might have noticed that KLA Corporation (NASDAQ:KLAC) filed its annual result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 3.1% to US$763 in the past week. KLA reported US$9.8b in revenue, roughly in line with analyst forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) of US$20.28 beat expectations, being 2.2% higher than what the analysts expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
股东可能已经注意到,KLA公司(纳斯达克代码:KLAC)上周同期公布了其年度财报。但初步反应不太积极,上周股价下跌3.1%至763美元。KLA公司报告了980亿美元的营业收入,与分析师预测大致一致,尽管每股收益(EPS)为20.28美元,比分析师预期高2.2%。盈利对投资者来说是重要的时期,因为他们可以跟踪公司的业绩,了解分析师对明年的预测,并查看公司的情绪是否发生变化。因此,我们收集了最新的业绩后法定共识估计,以了解明年可能发生的事情。
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from KLA's 21 analysts is for revenues of US$11.5b in 2025. This reflects a notable 17% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to leap 41% to US$28.83. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$11.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$27.32 in 2025. So there seems to have been a moderate uplift in sentiment following the latest results, given the upgrades to both revenue and earnings per share forecasts for next year.
考虑到最新的财报数据,KLA的21名分析师预测,2025年营业收入将达到115亿美元。这反映了营业收入与过去12个月相比有显著的17%的增长。预测法定 EPS将跃升41%至28.83美元。不过,在最新的业绩公布之前,分析师预计2025年的营业收入将为112亿美元,每股收益将为27.32美元。因此,似乎在最新的业绩数据公布之后,人们对公司情绪出现了中度上升,由于预计明年的营收和每股收益的预测均上调。
It will come as no surprise to learn that the analysts have increased their price target for KLA 5.1% to US$857on the back of these upgrades. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on KLA, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$990 and the most bearish at US$670 per share. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await KLA shareholders.
毫不意外地,我们发现分析师们在这些调整后将KLA的目标价提高了5.1%至857美元。然而,从这些数据中我们也可以得出其他结论,因为一些投资者在评估分析师的目标价时也喜欢考虑估计的分歧。对于KLA,分析师对业务持有不同看法,其中最看好的分析师将其价值定为990美元,而最看淡的仅为每股670美元。分析师对业务确实持有不同的看法,但我们认为他们的估价分歧不足以预示着KLA股东可能会遭遇极端的结果。
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 17% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 16% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 18% per year. It's clear that while KLA's revenue growth is expected to continue on its current trajectory, it's only expected to grow in line with the industry itself.
现在,我们可以通过了解这些预测与过去的表现和行业增长预测进行比较,以了解这些预测。分析师预测到2025年的期间,年平均营收预计增长17%。这与其过去五年的平均年增长率16%相符。与我们收集的数据相对照,这表明行业中其他有分析师覆盖的公司预计营收年增长率为18%。显然,尽管KLA的营收增长预计将保持在当前轨迹上,但它只预计与行业本身保持同步增长。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。
The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around KLA's earnings potential next year. There was also an upgrade to revenue estimates, although as we saw earlier, forecast growth is only expected to be about the same as the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.
对我们最重要的是共识每股收益的上调,这表明KLA明年的盈利潜力明显提高。尽管预计营收增长也有所上升,但正如我们前面所看到的,其预计增长率只预计与更广泛的行业相同。分析师还对目标价格进行了良好的提高,显然他们认为公司的内在价值正在提高。
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on KLA. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for KLA going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
考虑到这一点,我们不应该太快就得出关于KLA的结论。长期的盈利能力比明年的盈利要重要得多。我们对KLA的预测预计将持续到2027年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。
Before you take the next step you should know about the 1 warning sign for KLA that we have uncovered.
在您采取下一步行动之前,您应该知道我们发现了KLA的1个警告信号。
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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。