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Evergy (NASDAQ:EVRG) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

Evergy (NASDAQ:EVRG) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

西星能源(纳斯达克:EVRG)的债务使用可能被视为风险
Simply Wall St ·  07/26 14:12

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Evergy, Inc. (NASDAQ:EVRG) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性和风险远非同义词。”因此,现在聪明的人都知道,在评估公司风险时,通常会涉及到破产债务,这是一个非常重要的因素。像许多其他公司一样,Evergy股份有限公司(NASDAQ:EVRG)也使用了债务。但这笔债务会成为股东的担忧吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般来说,只有在公司无法轻易地通过筹集资本或自有现金流来还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人会接管该企业。然而,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以此来加强其资产负债表。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要以高速回报投资发展的企业的极好工具。考虑企业使用多少债务的第一件事是查看其现金和债务的整个结合情况。

How Much Debt Does Evergy Carry?

Evergy股份有限公司承担了多少债务?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Evergy had US$13.6b of debt, up from US$12.4b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

正如下面所示,在2024年3月底,Evergy有136亿美元的债务,比一年前的124亿美元增加。点击图像以了解更多详细信息。净债务相同,因为它没有多少现金。

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NasdaqGS:EVRG Debt to Equity History July 26th 2024
NasdaqGS:EVRG权益负债历史图表 2024年7月26日

A Look At Evergy's Liabilities

看看Evergy的负债情况

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Evergy had liabilities of US$3.19b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$18.4b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$63.7m in cash and US$175.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$21.4b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到Evergy有319亿美元的负债,在12个月内到期,并且有184亿美元的负债超过该期限。抵消这一点的是,它有6370万美元的现金和17530万美元的应收账款应在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的组合多214亿美元。这种不足会严重影响这家规模为129亿美元的公司,就像一个孩子背着装满了书、体育用品和小号的巨大背包一样。因此,我们会密切关注其资产负债表,毫无疑问。最终,如果Evergy的债权人要求偿还款项,它可能需要进行重大再融资。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$12.9b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Evergy would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

Evergy股东面临一两个大问题:高达5.7的高净债务/EBITDA比率,以及相对薄弱的利息覆盖率,因为EBIt仅是利息支出的2.4倍。这里的债务负担很重。更令人不安的是,Evergy实际上让其EBIt在过去一年中下降了4.0%。如果该收益趋势持续下去,公司将面临支付债务的艰辛之路。显然,在分析债务时,资产负债表是明显需要关注的领域。但是,最终企业未来的盈利能力将决定Evergy是否能够逐渐加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看这份免费的报告,其中显示了分析师的利润预测。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Service Corporation International的债务是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆盖其利息开支的3.7倍。综合考虑,虽然我们不希望看到债务水平上升,但我们认为它可以应对当前的杠杆。好消息是,Service Corporation International在过去12个月中将其EBIT提高了2.9%,从而逐渐降低了其相对于收益的债务水平。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了有关债务的大部分内容。但是,相对于资产负债表,更重要的是未来收益,这将决定Service Corporation International维持健康资产负债表的能力。如果您关注未来,您可以查看此免费报告,其中有分析师的利润预测。

Evergy shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.7), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.4 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Even more troubling is the fact that Evergy actually let its EBIT decrease by 4.0% over the last year. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Evergy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

最后,虽然税务局可能喜欢会计利润,但借款人只接受冰冷的现金。因此,我们明显需要查看EBIt是否导致相应的自由现金流量。在过去的三年中,Evergy烧掉了大量现金。虽然投资者无疑期望局面在适当的时候会扭转,但这显然意味着它的债务使用更加冒险。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Evergy burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

从表面上看,Evergy将EBIt转化为自由现金流量的情况使我们对该股持观望态度,并且其总负债的水平与最繁忙的一年中唯一的一家空荡荡的餐厅一样令人望而生畏。而且,其利息覆盖率也未能增强信心。另外,值得注意的是,Evergy处于电力公用事业产业,这通常被认为是相当具有防御性的。在考虑了所讨论的数据点之后,我们认为Evergy的债务过高。虽然一些投资者喜欢这种冒险投资,但这肯定不是我们的选择。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显需要关注的地方。但是,并非所有的投资风险都在资产负债表中——远非如此。例如,Evergy有2个警告信号(和1个与我们不太合适的信号)我们认为你应该知道。

Our View

我们的观点

On the face of it, Evergy's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. It's also worth noting that Evergy is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Evergy has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Evergy has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性和风险远非同义词。”因此,现在聪明的人都知道,在评估公司风险时,通常会涉及到破产债务,这是一个非常重要的因素。像许多其他公司一样,Evergy股份有限公司(NASDAQ:EVRG)也使用了债务。但这笔债务会成为股东的担忧吗?一般来说,只有在公司无法轻易地通过筹集资本或自有现金流来还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人会接管该企业。然而,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以此来加强其资产负债表。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要以高速回报投资发展的企业的极好工具。考虑企业使用多少债务的第一件事是查看其现金和债务的整个结合情况。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

总的来说,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包含这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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