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Lubair Aviation Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001316) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 26 19:39

Lubair Aviation Technology (SZSE:001316) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 20% over the last week. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Lubair Aviation Technology's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Lubair Aviation Technology is:

7.3% = CN¥87m ÷ CN¥1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.07 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Lubair Aviation Technology's Earnings Growth And 7.3% ROE

At first glance, Lubair Aviation Technology's ROE doesn't look very promising. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 5.0% which we definitely can't overlook. Still, Lubair Aviation Technology has seen a flat net income growth over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the low to flat growth in earnings could also be the result of this.

As a next step, we compared Lubair Aviation Technology's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 10% in the same period.

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SZSE:001316 Past Earnings Growth July 26th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Lubair Aviation Technology fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Lubair Aviation Technology Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Lubair Aviation Technology has a high three-year median payout ratio of 56% (or a retention ratio of 44%), meaning that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This does go some way in explaining why there's been no growth in its earnings.

Additionally, Lubair Aviation Technology started paying a dividend only recently. So it looks like the management must have perceived that shareholders favor dividends over earnings growth.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Lubair Aviation Technology can be open to many interpretations. Primarily, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which explains the lack of growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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