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HBIS (SZSE:000709) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 26% If They Invested Three Years Ago

HBIS (SZSE:000709) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 26% If They Invested Three Years Ago

如果投資者三年前購買了河鋼股份(股票代碼SZSE:000709),目前他們將面臨26%的虧損。
Simply Wall St ·  07/27 20:22

One of the frustrations of investing is when a stock goes down. But it's hard to avoid some disappointing investments when the overall market is down. While the HBIS Company Limited (SZSE:000709) share price is down 31% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -26%. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 26%. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 23% in the last year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 15% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 9.2% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the three years that the share price fell, HBIS' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 20% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 12% compound annual share price fall. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

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SZSE:000709 Earnings Per Share Growth July 28th 2024

This free interactive report on HBIS' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for HBIS the TSR over the last 3 years was -26%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

HBIS shareholders are down 21% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the market return of -19%. So last year was actually even worse than the last five years, which cost shareholders 4% per year. It will probably take a substantial improvement in the fundamental performance for the company to reverse this trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand HBIS better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with HBIS (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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