With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.3x Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas Group Corp.,Ltd. (SHSE:603619) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 28x and even P/E's higher than 53x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 23% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 30% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 24% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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