If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. So when we looked at the ROCE trend of Nongfu Spring (HKG:9633) we really liked what we saw.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Nongfu Spring:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.48 = CN¥14b ÷ (CN¥49b - CN¥20b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
So, Nongfu Spring has an ROCE of 48%. That's a fantastic return and not only that, it outpaces the average of 11% earned by companies in a similar industry.
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Above you can see how the current ROCE for Nongfu Spring compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Nongfu Spring .
What Can We Tell From Nongfu Spring's ROCE Trend?
We like the trends that we're seeing from Nongfu Spring. Over the last five years, returns on capital employed have risen substantially to 48%. The company is effectively making more money per dollar of capital used, and it's worth noting that the amount of capital has increased too, by 98%. So we're very much inspired by what we're seeing at Nongfu Spring thanks to its ability to profitably reinvest capital.
For the record though, there was a noticeable increase in the company's current liabilities over the period, so we would attribute some of the ROCE growth to that. Essentially the business now has suppliers or short-term creditors funding about 40% of its operations, which isn't ideal. Given it's pretty high ratio, we'd remind investors that having current liabilities at those levels can bring about some risks in certain businesses.
What We Can Learn From Nongfu Spring's ROCE
To sum it up, Nongfu Spring has proven it can reinvest in the business and generate higher returns on that capital employed, which is terrific. Given the stock has declined 21% in the last three years, this could be a good investment if the valuation and other metrics are also appealing. So researching this company further and determining whether or not these trends will continue seems justified.
On the other side of ROCE, we have to consider valuation. That's why we have a FREE intrinsic value estimation for 9633 on our platform that is definitely worth checking out.
High returns are a key ingredient to strong performance, so check out our free list ofstocks earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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