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Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002741) Revenues Despite 26% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 31 18:07

Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002741) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 28% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's P/S ratio of 1.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Chemicals industry in China is about the same. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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SZSE:002741 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 31st 2024

How Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech Has Been Performing

Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 20%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 14% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 53% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 24%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Guangdong Guanghua Sci-Tech (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored).

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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