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Jiangsu Innovative Ecological New Materials Limited's (HKG:2116) 29% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 31 19:03

Jiangsu Innovative Ecological New Materials Limited (HKG:2116) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 64% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Jiangsu Innovative Ecological New Materials' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.5x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Hong Kong is similar at about 9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Jiangsu Innovative Ecological New Materials certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

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SEHK:2116 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 31st 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jiangsu Innovative Ecological New Materials, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Jiangsu Innovative Ecological New Materials' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 84%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 4.2% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 19% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangsu Innovative Ecological New Materials is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Jiangsu Innovative Ecological New Materials' P/E

Jiangsu Innovative Ecological New Materials' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Jiangsu Innovative Ecological New Materials revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Jiangsu Innovative Ecological New Materials has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jiangsu Innovative Ecological New Materials, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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