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Is Samudera Shipping Line (SGX:S56) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 31 19:40

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Samudera Shipping Line Ltd (SGX:S56) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is Samudera Shipping Line's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Samudera Shipping Line had US$63.3m of debt, an increase on US$27.5m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has US$312.7m in cash, leading to a US$249.4m net cash position.

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SGX:S56 Debt to Equity History July 31st 2024

How Healthy Is Samudera Shipping Line's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Samudera Shipping Line had liabilities of US$114.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$183.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$312.7m in cash and US$82.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast US$97.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

It's good to see that Samudera Shipping Line has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Samudera Shipping Line boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

It is just as well that Samudera Shipping Line's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 71% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Samudera Shipping Line will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Samudera Shipping Line has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Samudera Shipping Line actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Samudera Shipping Line has US$249.4m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 113% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$52m. So we don't think Samudera Shipping Line's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Samudera Shipping Line .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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