Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain System Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603178) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.3x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Auto Components industry in China have P/S ratios below 1.9x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
How Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain SystemLtd Has Been Performing
Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain SystemLtd has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. It might be that many expect the reasonable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain SystemLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain SystemLtd?
Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain SystemLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.5%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 14% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 25% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain SystemLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain SystemLtd's P/S
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain SystemLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain SystemLtd, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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