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Is Lecron Industrial Development Group (SZSE:300343) A Risky Investment?

Is Lecron Industrial Development Group (SZSE:300343) A Risky Investment?

聯創股份(SZSE:300343)是一項存在風險的投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/08/01 09:47

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Lecron Industrial Development Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300343) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克斯很好地表達了這一點,他說,“與其擔心股價波動性,我擔心的是永久損失的可能性......我認識的每一個實踐投資者都會擔心這一點。”因此,當您考慮任何股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲債務過多可能會使公司破產。重要的是,聯創股份有限公司(SZSE:300343)確實有債務。但是真正的問題是,這些債務是否使公司變得更加危險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當公司無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本來輕鬆履行那些義務時,債務和其他負債會對企業造成風險。最終,如果公司無法履行法律債務還款的義務,股東可能毫無所獲。然而,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是對於資本重資產的企業而言。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Lecron Industrial Development Group's Debt?

聯創股份的債務水平如何?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Lecron Industrial Development Group had CN¥191.2m of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥369.7m, one year before. However, it does have CN¥910.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥719.3m.

您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數字,但它顯示聯創股份於2024年3月擁有1.912億元人民幣的債務,比一年前的3.697億元人民幣降低。然而,它擁有9.106億元人民幣的現金來抵消這一點,導致淨現金爲7.193億元人民幣。

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SZSE:300343 Debt to Equity History August 1st 2024
SZSE:300343的資產負債歷史,截至2024年8月1日

How Strong Is Lecron Industrial Development Group's Balance Sheet?

我們可以從最近的資產負債表看出,聯創股份有限公司短期內到期負債爲7.724億元人民幣,長期到期負債爲4.51億元人民幣。另一方面,它有9.106億元人民幣的現金和1.5588億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它可以擁有比總負債多6.118億元人民幣的流動資產。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Lecron Industrial Development Group had liabilities of CN¥772.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥45.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥910.6m and CN¥518.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥611.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

這個盈餘表明聯創股份有限公司有一個保守的資產負債表,並且可能很容易消除其債務。簡單地說,聯創股份擁有淨現金,因此很公平地說它沒有負擔沉重的債務!當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要重點關注的領域。但是,您不能孤立地看待債務;因爲聯創股份有限公司需要賺取利潤來支付債務。因此,如果您想了解更多關於其收益的信息,不妨看一下其長期收益趨勢的圖表。

This surplus suggests that Lecron Industrial Development Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Lecron Industrial Development Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Lecron Industrial Development Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

在過去的12個月中,聯創股份有限公司在EBIt水平上虧損,並且其營業收入下降至9497萬元人民幣,降幅爲44%。這讓我們感到非常擔心。

Over 12 months, Lecron Industrial Development Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥947m, which is a fall of 44%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

那麼,聯創股份有限公司有多大風險?雖然聯創股份有限公司在利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)水平上虧損,但其實際產生了3600萬元人民幣的自由現金流。因此,仔細考慮淨現金情況後,我們認爲股票在短期內不太冒險。在過去一年中,營業收益增長平平,我們並不認爲這是一個特別令人感興趣的投資機會。當我們考慮風險更大的公司時,我們喜歡檢查它們的利潤(或虧損)如何隨着時間的推移而變化。今天,我們向讀者提供這個交互式圖表,展示聯創股份有限公司的利潤、營業收入和經營現金流如何在過去幾年中發生變化。

So How Risky Is Lecron Industrial Development Group?

那麼,聯創股份有限公司有多大風險?

While Lecron Industrial Development Group lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥36m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. With mediocre revenue growth in the last year, we're don't find the investment opportunity particularly compelling. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how Lecron Industrial Development Group's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.

雖然聯創股份有限公司在利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)水平上虧損,但其實際產生了3600萬元人民幣的自由現金流。因此,仔細考慮淨現金情況後,我們認爲股票在短期內不太冒險。在過去一年中,營業收益增長平平,我們並不認爲這是一個特別令人感興趣的投資機會。當我們考慮風險更大的公司時,我們喜歡檢查它們的利潤(或虧損)如何隨着時間的推移而變化。今天,我們向讀者提供這個交互式圖表,展示聯創股份有限公司的利潤、營業收入和經營現金流如何在過去幾年中發生變化。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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