Despite an already strong run, Shenandoah Telecommunications Company (NASDAQ:SHEN) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 13% is also fairly reasonable.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in the United States' Telecom industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may consider Shenandoah Telecommunications as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does Shenandoah Telecommunications' Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been pleasing for Shenandoah Telecommunications as its revenue has risen in spite of the industry's average revenue going into reverse. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader industry adversity, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shenandoah Telecommunications.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenandoah Telecommunications?
Shenandoah Telecommunications' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.2% gain to the company's revenues. Revenue has also lifted 27% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 26% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 152%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Shenandoah Telecommunications' P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On Shenandoah Telecommunications' P/S
Shares in Shenandoah Telecommunications have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Shenandoah Telecommunications, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Shenandoah Telecommunications (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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