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Earnings Not Telling The Story For CITIC Offshore Helicopter Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000099) After Shares Rise 27%

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 3 20:26

Those holding CITIC Offshore Helicopter Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000099) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. The last month tops off a massive increase of 122% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, CITIC Offshore Helicopter may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 59.9x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 28x and even P/E's lower than 16x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, CITIC Offshore Helicopter has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

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SZSE:000099 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 4th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think CITIC Offshore Helicopter's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

CITIC Offshore Helicopter's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 33%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 13% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 13% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 36% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's alarming that CITIC Offshore Helicopter's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From CITIC Offshore Helicopter's P/E?

CITIC Offshore Helicopter's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that CITIC Offshore Helicopter currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for CITIC Offshore Helicopter that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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