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Earnings Growth of 37% Over 5 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Arko (NASDAQ:ARKO) Shareholders

Earnings Growth of 37% Over 5 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Arko (NASDAQ:ARKO) Shareholders

在过去的5年里,ARKO(纳斯达克:ARKO)的收益增长了37%,但仍未转化为股东的正回报。
Simply Wall St ·  08/06 08:00

It is doubtless a positive to see that the Arko Corp. (NASDAQ:ARKO) share price has gained some 35% in the last three months. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. In fact, the share price is down 42%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.

阿尔科公司(NASDAQ:ARKO)股价在过去三个月中上涨了约35%,这无疑是一个积极的迹象。但如果你看一下过去五年的收益,就会发现这样的回报并不好。事实上,股价下跌了42%,远低于购买指数基金的收益。

With the stock having lost 10.0% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

股价在过去一周已下跌10.0%,有必要关注企业绩效并看是否有任何红旗提示。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的话:“船只将周游世界,而‘地平派’仍会兴旺。市场上的价格和价值仍会存在广泛的差距……”考虑一家公司在市场上的认知如何变化的一个不完美但简单的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的波动。

While the share price declined over five years, Arko actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 380% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

尽管股价在五年内下降,但阿尔科的每股收益平均增长了380%。鉴于股价反应,人们可能会怀疑每股收益在该时期内不是业务表现的良好指标(或许是由于一次性损失或收益),或者曾经的增长预期不切实际。

Because of the sharp contrast between the EPS growth rate and the share price growth, we're inclined to look to other metrics to understand the changing market sentiment around the stock.

由于每股收益增长率和股价增长之间的鲜明对比,我们倾向于查看其他指标,以了解股票周围的变化的市场情绪。

In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 23% a year in the five year period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

与股价相反,营业收入在五年期内实际增长了23%。对营收和收益进行更详细的分析可能或可能不能解释股价为什么低迷;也许存在机会。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。

big
NasdaqCM:ARKO Earnings and Revenue Growth August 6th 2024
NasdaqCM:ARKO盈利和营收增长于2024年8月6日。

We know that Arko has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? This free interactive report on Arko's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

我们知道阿尔科在过去三年中提高了底线,但未来会发生什么?如果想进一步调查该股票,阿尔科资产负债表强度的这份免费互动式报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Arko the TSR over the last 5 years was -40%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

对于任何给定的股票,都重要考虑股东总回报(TSR),以及股价回报。TSR是一种回报计算,考虑了现金股利的价值(假设任何收到的股利都进行了再投资)和任何折价资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于那些支付丰厚股息的公司,TSR通常比股价回报高得多。我们注意到,对于阿尔科,过去5年的TSR为-40%,比上述股价回报好。公司支付的股息因此提高了总股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

While the broader market gained around 14% in the last year, Arko shareholders lost 27% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 7% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Arko (1 doesn't sit too well with us) that you should be aware of.

虽然更广泛的市场在最近一年中获得了约14%的涨幅,但阿尔科股东在同期内损失了27%(即使包括股息在内)。然而,我们应该知道,即使最好的股票有时也会在12个月的时间内表现不佳。不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明存在未解决的挑战,因为它比过去半个世纪失去7%的年化损失还要糟糕。我们意识到,巴伦罗斯柴尔德曾说投资者应该“在街头有血的时候购买”,但我们警告说,投资者首先务必确定自己正在购买高质量的企业。虽然考虑市场条件可能对股价的影响不失为一种好方法,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,我们已经确定了4个警示信号,这些信号对于你应该意识到的阿尔科的情况(其中1个不太好)非常重要。

Of course Arko may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,阿尔科可能不是最好的股票,所以你可能希望看看这些成长股的免费收藏。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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