Shanghai HYP-ARCH Architectural Design Consultant Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301024) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 23% over that time.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Shanghai HYP-ARCH Architectural Design ConsultantLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 12.1x, considering almost half the companies in China's Professional Services industry have P/S ratios below 2.5x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Shanghai HYP-ARCH Architectural Design ConsultantLtd Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shanghai HYP-ARCH Architectural Design ConsultantLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai HYP-ARCH Architectural Design ConsultantLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is Shanghai HYP-ARCH Architectural Design ConsultantLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
Shanghai HYP-ARCH Architectural Design ConsultantLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.7% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 59% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shanghai HYP-ARCH Architectural Design ConsultantLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Shanghai HYP-ARCH Architectural Design ConsultantLtd have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Shanghai HYP-ARCH Architectural Design ConsultantLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shanghai HYP-ARCH Architectural Design ConsultantLtd (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com