City Developments Limited's (SGX:C09) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x may look like a pretty appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Real Estate industry in Singapore have P/S ratios greater than 2.1x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
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What Does City Developments' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
City Developments certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on City Developments.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, City Developments would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 50%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 134% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 7.8% per year as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 2.1% per year, which paints a poor picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that City Developments is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of City Developments' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, City Developments' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for City Developments (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com