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Bitcoin Defies Bearish Signals As Bank Of Japan's Stance Reshapes Market Dynamics

Bitcoin Defies Bearish Signals As Bank Of Japan's Stance Reshapes Market Dynamics

比特幣違抗消極信號,因日本銀行的立場改變市場動態
Benzinga ·  08/07 09:00

A looming death cross for Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC), a typically bearish technical pattern, may actually signal a bullish shift, similar to what occurred in September 2023.

比特幣(加密貨幣:BTC)即將面臨死亡叉,這通常是一種看淡的技術形態,但實際上可能預示着一個看好的轉變,類似於2023年9月的情況。

What Happened: This shift comes as the influential Bank of Japan (BOJ) governor, Shinichi Uchida, announced that the central bank would not increase borrowing costs amid market instability, thereby weakening the case for the continued unwinding of yen carry trades and risk aversion in assets like Bitcoin.

事件經過:這種轉變是在有影響力的日本銀行(BOJ)行長內田信一宣佈,中央銀行不會在市場不穩定時增加借貸成本,從而削弱了繼續取消日元資產支持和比特幣等風險規避的案例而出現。

As Bitcoin approached a potentially ominous chart formation known as the "death cross," where the 50-day simple moving average crosses below the 200-day simple moving average, the cryptocurrency market braced for a downturn.

當比特幣接近潛在的不祥圖表形態,即50天簡單移動平均線穿過200天簡單移動平均線形成的“死亡十字架”時,加密貨幣市場爲下行做了準備。

However, statements from the BOJ Governor have altered the landscape, offering a lifeline to risk assets, including Bitcoin, Coindesk reported.

然而,BOJ行長的聲明改變了局面,爲風險資產,包括比特幣,提供了生命線,據Coindesk報道。

Uchida's remarks, emphasizing the need for continued monetary easing in the face of market volatility, have effectively put the brakes on the unwinding of the popular "yen carry trade."

內田的言辭強調了在市場波動中持續實行貨幣寬鬆的必要性,有效地制止了流行的“日元攜帶交易”的取消。

This strategy, which involves borrowing in low-interest Japanese yen to invest in higher-yielding assets, had been a significant driver of risk-on sentiment in recent years.

這種策略涉及在低利率的日元中借款,投資於高產出的資產,近年來一直是風險偏好的重要驅動力。

"As we're seeing sharp volatility in domestic and overseas financial markets, it's necessary to maintain current levels of monetary easing for the time being," Uchida stated in his address to business leaders in Hakodate, Hokkaido.

“由於我們正在看到國內外金融市場的大幅波動,因此需要保持目前的貨幣寬鬆水平,”內田在他對函館,北海道的商業領袖的講話中說。

The impact of these words was immediate and far-reaching. Bitcoin, which had experienced a sharp decline from $66,000 to $50,000 in the days following the BOJ's initial rate hike last week, swiftly rebounded.

這些話的影響是立竿見影的,比特幣在上週日本銀行首次加息後的幾天內從66,000美元降至50,000美元,迅速反彈。

The cryptocurrency briefly surpassed $57,300, demonstrating a remarkable recovery amid broader market stabilization.

加密貨幣暫時超過了57,300美元,展示出在全球各地市場穩定中顯著的復甦。

Simultaneously, the Japanese yen weakened against the U.S. dollar, while Japan's Nikkei index surged by 4%.

同時,日本的日元貶值,而日本的日經指數大漲4%。

Why It Matters: This coordinated movement across various asset classes signaled a significant shift in market sentiment, with risk appetite seemingly restored.

爲什麼很重要:這個跨越不同資產類別的協調移動,似乎恢復了風險偏好,標誌着市場情緒的重大轉變。

Market observers were quick to note the significance of the BOJ's stance.

市場觀察人士迅速指出了日本銀行立場的重要性。

An analyst known as Global Macro commented on social media platform X, "The BOJ struck the 'Yen put,' and the Nikkei will be driving the Nasdaq and S&P to their pre-selloff levels."

社交媒體平台X上的分析師“全球宏觀”評論道:“日銀打出了“日元看跌期權”,而日經將推動納斯達克和標普回到砍價前的水平。”

This sudden reversal in market dynamics underscores the complex interplay between monetary policy, currency markets and digital assets.

市場動態的這種突然逆轉凸顯了貨幣政策、貨幣市場和數字資產之間複雜的相互作用。

The yen carry trade, which had been unwinding due to the BOJ's initial hawkish move, now appears to be stabilizing, providing support for risk assets across the board.

由於日本銀行的初步鷹派舉措,攜帶交易不斷取消,現在似乎正在穩定,爲跨越各領域的風險資產提供支撐。

Andy Constan, CEO of Damped Spring Advisors, offered insights into the mechanics of this market phenomenon.

Damped Spring Advisors首席執行官Andy Constan爲這種市場現象的機理提供了見解。

"The unwind of the trade results in inelastic price moving flow to buy yen and sell risky assets. The sale of the risky asset also impacts the much bigger set of levered investors who don't have any yen exposure at all and they get margin called as well," Constan explained in a detailed analysis.

“交易的取消導致價格不變的流動性流向日元和出售風險資產。風險資產的銷售也影響到不持有任何日元敞口的更大規模的槓桿投資者,他們也會被追加按金要求,”Constan在詳細分析中解釋道。

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声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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