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Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:BBAI) Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 7 10:19

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.9x in the IT industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:BBAI) P/S ratio of 2.1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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NYSE:BBAI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 7th 2024

What Does BigBear.ai Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

BigBear.ai Holdings could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on BigBear.ai Holdings.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For BigBear.ai Holdings?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like BigBear.ai Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.8%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 18% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 25% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 8.5%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that BigBear.ai Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does BigBear.ai Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Looking at BigBear.ai Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for BigBear.ai Holdings (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of BigBear.ai Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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