Changshu Tianyin Electromechanical Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300342) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 50% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2x, you may consider Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 6.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
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What Does Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Revenue has risen firmly for Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's top line. As a result, it also grew revenue by 7.1% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 23% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has lead to Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd's P/S soaring as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
The fact that Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Changshu Tianyin ElectromechanicalLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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