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Investors Three-year Losses Continue as Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic (SZSE:002048) Dips a Further 5.1% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 7 21:23

Investors are understandably disappointed when a stock they own declines in value. But it's hard to avoid some disappointing investments when the overall market is down. While the Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002048) share price is down 37% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -22%. That's better than the market which declined 29% over the last three years. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 15% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 11% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

Since Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic has shed CN¥538m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the three years that the share price fell, Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 6.6% each year. The share price decline of 14% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. This increased caution is also evident in the rather low P/E ratio, which is sitting at 9.47.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

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SZSE:002048 Earnings Per Share Growth August 8th 2024

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic's TSR for the last 3 years was -22%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic shares lost 4.1% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 19%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 11% for each year. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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